The Making of the Next Congress

November 2018

Trump and the Mid-Term Elections

A Talk by
UCSD Prof. Gary C. Jacobson


Saturday, November 17, 2018
1:30 –3:30 PM

At the Vi
8515 Costa Verde Blvd

November’s meeting of SDIS will be held at the Vi, 3515 Costa Verde Blvd.
There is free valet parking and no tipping is allowed.
Check in at the front desk and you will be directed to the elevator to the bottom floor, where we will meet.
Future meetings will be back at UCSD.

All monthly meetings of SDIS are free and open to the public. 
A question/discussion period follows the talk.

The Talk: Long-term political trends and the public’s reaction to Donald Trump’s surreal presidency are converging to make the 2018 midterm elections the most sweeping and divisive national referendum on any administration at least since the Great Depression.

In this talk, Jacobson will review the major trends that have gradually transformed midterm elections in to highly nationalized, president-centered events, locate the Trump presidency in these currents, document Trump’s dominance of the Republican Party base, analyze how public reactions to his presidency contributed to the election’s outcome, and consider some implications of the results for the future of American politics and the Republican and Democratic parties.


The Speaker: Gary C. Jacobson is Distinguished Professor of Political Science Emeritus at the University of California, San Diego, where he taught from 1979 to 2016. He received his A.B. from Stanford in 1966 and his Ph.D. from Yale in 1972.

He specializes in the study of U.S. elections, parties, interest groups, public opinion, and Congress. He is the author of Money in Congressional Elections, The Politics of Congressional Elections, The Electoral Origins of Divided Government, A Divider, Not a Uniter: George W. Bush and the American People and the forthcoming Presidents and Parties in the Public Mind, and coauthor of Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections, and The Logic of American Politics, as well as more than 100 research articles.